A North Carolina Farmer's Year of Survival: Why Even Trump Voters Are Breaking Under Rising Farm Costs

A North Carolina farmer who voted for Trump is running out of cuts to make. Diesel fuel costs have doubled in a year, tariffs are pushing up every expense, and he's watching neighbors consider leaving farming for good.

By Common Good Policy Team · September 18, 2026 · Responding to CBS News

What Happened

Matt Bell has been farming for 34 years in Kings Mountain, North Carolina. He grows soybeans, corn, and wheat on more than 1,000 acres and raises beef cattle. He voted for President Trump. By September 2026, he was in what he calls "survival mode."

The reason is simple and concrete: his costs have exploded in ways he can't absorb. Diesel fuel, which he needs for every piece of equipment on his farm, has roughly doubled in price over the past year. According to AAA data cited in the CBS News reporting, diesel prices nationwide are averaging around $6.40 per gallon, nearly double the average price a year ago. In North Carolina, prices hit a recorded high of $6.19 per gallon. Bell's combine now requires about $600 worth of diesel fuel per day. He blew through his annual fuel budget of $35,000 by August and now expects to spend $50,000 to $60,000 for the year.

It's not just fuel. Tariffs, many imposed under Trump administration policy, have driven up the price of fertilizer, chemicals, seeds, and equipment parts. Everything he touches costs more. "We've cut everything we can cut," Bell told CBS News. "But we're just getting to the point now there's nothing left to cut."

This isn't unique to Bell. He says other farmers in his region are considering leaving agriculture after this growing season ends.

What It Means for You

Here's what matters beyond the farm gate: food prices and availability. The United States produces more food than it consumes on more arable land than any country on earth, yet 47.9 million Americans live in food-insecure households. That gap isn't accident. It's a policy choice. And right now, the policies squeezing farmers like Bell squeeze the entire food system.

When production costs rise faster than commodity prices, and they are, farmers have three choices: absorb the loss, pass it to consumers, or stop farming. Bell is already doing the first two. He's shifted his operation, extended equipment life, and started producing his own fertilizer. His children opened a farm stand and pumpkin patch to diversify income. These are smart moves. They're also signs of desperation.

The second and third choices ripple outward. If farmers leave, production drops. If production drops in a country that feeds itself and the world, prices rise everywhere. A family already choosing between groceries and rent, and there are millions of them, feels that immediately.

The Bigger Picture

Two major forces are pushing diesel prices up, both documented in the article.

The first is geopolitical: conflict in the Middle East and the Red Sea. The war with Iran, attacks on Saudi infrastructure by Iranian proxy forces, and the Houthi blockade in the Strait of Hormuz have disrupted global oil supply. Fighting in Russia and Ukraine has also limited refining capacity. These aren't abstract market shifts, they're real constraints on a resource farmers can't live without and can't substitute for.

The second is tariff policy. The Trump administration has imposed wide-ranging tariffs that have directly increased the cost of farm inputs. The article notes that China has maintained a 10% retaliatory tariff on U.S. soybeans even after the May 2026 announcement of a deal for China to buy 25 million metric tons of soybeans annually through 2028. The tariff remains in place. Bell's costs have risen as a result.

The timing is brutal. Farm income has been unstable for years, Bell himself says "the last several years in agriculture have been terrible." He and other farmers have already cut overhead to the bone. They've endured price volatility so extreme that a quote from his fuel distributor is obsolete by afternoon. There's no more margin to absorb shock.

And the shock is real. At $600 a day in diesel alone, a farm operation that was already operating on thin margins is now facing the question: does this math still work?

Where This Goes

Bell voted for Trump hoping for relief. Instead, he's gotten the opposite. That disconnect, between expectation and lived experience, is the real story here. A farmer who believed in the administration's economic approach is now telling CBS News his family is in survival mode. That's not a political talking point. That's a warning sign about what these policies are actually doing.

The question now is whether policymakers will acknowledge the human cost and adjust course, or whether they'll wait until farm consolidation accelerates, small operations close, and food production concentrates further into fewer, larger corporate hands. History suggests the answer: without deliberate intervention, consolidation is what happens. Small farms become uneconomical; corporations buy the land; supply chains centralize; prices rise; and the people who grow food for a living become employees of the companies that own it.

For Bell, the immediate choice is stark: cut more, borrow more, or get out. His children's farm stand buys time. But time is finite, and diesel prices aren't getting cheaper.

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