National Debt & Fiscal Policy

The National Debt: America's Revenue Problem Disguised as a Spending Problem

America doesn't have a spending problem. It has a revenue problem manufactured by four decades of tax cuts for the wealthy. The Clinton surplus years proved higher taxes on the wealthy work.

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$34T+
national debt
$1T+
annual interest payments
1998-2001
Clinton surplus years
$10T+
cost of Bush/Trump tax cuts
27%
US revenue as % of GDP
34%
OECD avg. revenue as % of GDP

How Did the National Debt Get This Big?

The national debt didn't appear overnight. It was manufactured — one tax cut at a time — over four decades, with each cut sold to the public as a growth strategy that would "pay for itself." None of them did.

1981: Reagan tax cuts. The Economic Recovery Tax Act slashed the top marginal income tax rate from 70% to 50% (later to 28%). The promise: lower rates would generate so much growth that revenue would actually increase. The result: the national debt tripled from $994 billion to $2.9 trillion during Reagan's presidency. Revenue did not increase enough to offset the cuts. The deficit exploded.

1993: Clinton raises taxes. President Clinton raised the top marginal rate from 31% to 39.6%, increased the corporate rate, and expanded the Earned Income Tax Credit. Republicans predicted economic catastrophe. Instead, the economy created 22.7 million jobs — the most of any presidential term — and the federal budget produced four consecutive surpluses from 1998 to 2001. CBO projected the entire national debt would be eliminated by 2012.

2001-2003: Bush tax cuts. President Bush cut the top rate from 39.6% to 35%, slashed capital gains and dividend taxes, and reduced the estate tax. The projected surpluses vanished immediately. Combined with two unfunded wars and an unfunded Medicare prescription drug benefit (Part D), the Bush tax cuts added approximately $5.6 trillion to the debt over 20 years, including interest costs.

2017: Trump tax cuts. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act reduced the corporate rate from 35% to 21%, cut the top individual rate from 39.6% to 37%, and created a pass-through deduction that primarily benefited wealthy business owners. Cost: $2.3 trillion over 10 years according to CBO. The deficit increased from $665 billion in 2017 to $984 billion in 2019 — before COVID. Once again, the cuts did not pay for themselves. Corporate tax revenue fell 31% in the first year.

2020: COVID spending. The pandemic required emergency spending — CARES Act, PPP loans, stimulus checks — adding roughly $5 trillion to the debt. Much of this was necessary. But it was layered on top of a fiscal foundation that had been hollowed out by decades of tax cuts. The country entered the crisis with a $1 trillion deficit and a $23 trillion debt — because it had systematically cut the revenue needed to maintain fiscal capacity. For the full fiscal timeline, see the budget and fiscal responsibility page.

Is America's Problem Spending or Revenue?

The most persistent myth in American fiscal policy is that the government spends too much. The data tells a different story: America spends roughly the same share of GDP as its peers — but collects far less in revenue.

Spending vs. Revenue: US vs. OECD Peers (% of GDP)
CountrySpending % GDPRevenue % GDPGap
United States36%27%-9%
Germany44%38%-6%
France55%46%-9%
Canada40%33%-7%
OECD Average40%34%-6%

The United States spends 36% of GDP through government — less than the OECD average of 40%. American spending is not unusually high by international standards. What is unusual is revenue: at 27% of GDP, the US collects 7 percentage points less than the OECD average of 34%. That 7-point gap, applied to a $28 trillion economy, represents roughly $2 trillion per year in revenue that peer nations collect and the United States does not.

The revenue gap has a clear cause: four decades of tax cuts that reduced rates on high incomes, capital gains, corporations, and estates. The top marginal income tax rate has fallen from 70% in 1980 to 37% today. The corporate tax rate has fallen from 46% to 21%. The effective tax rate on the wealthiest Americans — when you include capital gains, carried interest, and other loopholes — is often lower than the rate paid by their secretaries. Warren Buffett has made this point himself.

The framing of the debt as a "spending problem" serves a specific political purpose: it justifies cutting Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and public investment rather than restoring the revenue that was cut away. The Common Good plan rejects this framing. The debt is a revenue problem. The solution is to restore adequate revenue — not to dismantle the programs that Americans depend on. See the taxation policy for the full revenue framework.

How Does the Common Good Plan Address the Debt?

The Common Good fiscal plan generates $13.85 trillion in new revenue over 10 years through tax reform, subsidy elimination, and enforcement — without cutting Social Security, Medicare, or essential services. The plan reduces the deficit to below 2% of GDP and stabilizes the debt-to-GDP ratio.

The revenue comes from specific, scorable sources — each of which has precedent either in American history or in current policies of peer nations.

  • Income Tax Reform: Restore pre-Bush/Trump rates on income above $400,000. No family earning under $400,000 sees a tax increase. This is the rate structure that produced the Clinton surpluses and the strongest economy of the past 40 years.
  • Corporate Minimum Tax: No profitable corporation pays zero federal income tax. A 15% minimum tax on book income ensures that Amazon, Meta, and other mega-corporations contribute to the country that made their profits possible. Estimated revenue: $300+ billion over 10 years.
  • Capital Gains Reform: Tax capital gains at the same rate as earned income for those making over $1 million per year. There is no economic justification for a billionaire's investment income being taxed at a lower rate than a nurse's paycheck.
  • Financial Transactions Tax: A 0.1% tax on stock, bond, and derivative trades — small enough to be invisible to ordinary investors but large enough to curb high-frequency speculation and generate $300+ billion over 10 years. The EU, UK, and 40+ countries already have similar taxes.
  • Fossil Fuel Subsidy Elimination: End $52 billion per year in federal subsidies to the fossil fuel industry — the most profitable industry in human history. These subsidies distort energy markets, accelerate climate change, and transfer public money to private shareholders.
  • IRS Enforcement Funding: Invest $80 billion in IRS enforcement focused on wealthy individuals and corporations. The tax gap — taxes legally owed but not collected — exceeds $600 billion per year. Every $1 invested in IRS enforcement returns $5-7 in collected revenue.
  • Estate Tax Reform: Restore the estate tax to Clinton-era parameters, closing the stepped-up basis loophole that allows billionaire dynasties to pass wealth across generations tax-free. This is not a tax on family farms — it affects only estates valued above $3.5 million.

For the complete fiscal framework with CBO-scored projections, see the budget and fiscal responsibility page and the taxation policy.

How Does US Debt Compare to Other Countries?

The United States has the largest nominal debt in the world — but debt must be measured relative to the size of the economy. What makes the US situation unique is not the debt level itself, but the combination of high debt with abnormally low revenue.

National Debt: International Comparison
CountryDebt/GDPRevenue/GDPSpending/GDPInterest/GDPTrend
United States122%27%36%3.5%Deficit growing
Japan255%36%42%1.5%Stable (low rates)
United Kingdom101%33%39%2.8%Deficit narrowing
Germany64%38%44%0.7%Near balance
Canada107%33%40%1.4%Deficit narrowing
France112%46%55%1.8%Deficit narrowing

Germany collects 38% of GDP in revenue and has a debt-to-GDP ratio of 64% — roughly half the US level. France collects 46% and, despite higher spending, is narrowing its deficit. Japan has far higher debt-to-GDP but pays less in interest because of monetary policy choices. The US stands out for one reason: it has systematically cut revenue while maintaining spending, creating a structural deficit that no amount of spending restraint can fix without devastating consequences.

The most alarming number is interest: at 3.5% of GDP, the US pays more in interest on its debt than it spends on national defense. Interest payments are projected to reach $1.7 trillion per year by 2034 — money that produces nothing, builds nothing, and helps no one. Every dollar spent on interest is a dollar that cannot be invested in infrastructure, education, healthcare, or any other productive purpose. This is the real cost of tax cuts that didn't pay for themselves.

What About Social Security and Medicare?

Social Security and Medicare are not the cause of the national debt. They are funded through dedicated payroll taxes and have their own trust funds. The programs face long-term funding gaps that require simple, targeted fixes — not the cuts that debt hawks use the national debt to justify.

Social Security is solvent through 2033, at which point it can still pay 77% of promised benefits from ongoing payroll tax revenue alone. The shortfall is entirely fixable. The simplest solution: raise the payroll tax cap, which currently exempts all income above $168,600. A worker earning $100,000 pays Social Security tax on every dollar. A CEO earning $10 million pays the same dollar amount as someone earning $168,600 — meaning 98.4% of their income is exempt. Eliminating or substantially raising the cap would close the entire funding gap without cutting a single benefit.

Medicare's cost growth is a healthcare cost problem, not a Medicare-specific problem. Medicare spends less per beneficiary on administrative costs (2%) than private insurance (12-18%). The program's long-term fiscal challenge is that American healthcare costs too much — the same problem that the Common Good healthcare plan addresses directly through federal price negotiation, single-payer administrative savings, and preventive care investment.

What cuts would actually mean: proposals to "reform" Social Security and Medicare typically mean raising the retirement age, reducing benefits, or converting Medicare to a voucher system. Raising the retirement age to 70 would effectively be a 20% benefit cut for workers whose bodies cannot sustain physical labor past 65. Converting Medicare to vouchers would shift costs to seniors — the population least able to absorb them. These are not solutions to the debt. They are transfers of cost from the federal balance sheet to the kitchen tables of retirees.

The Common Good plan protects Social Security and Medicare benefits in full, fixes the Social Security funding gap by raising the payroll tax cap, and addresses Medicare's cost growth through system-wide healthcare reform. For the complete approach, see the safety net policy and the elder care plan.

What Are the Biggest Myths About the National Debt?

The national debt is surrounded by myths that serve political agendas — some arguing the debt is catastrophic (to justify cutting programs), others arguing it's irrelevant (to justify more tax cuts). Here's what the evidence actually shows.

Myth: "We're going bankrupt."

Reality: A sovereign nation that borrows in its own currency cannot go bankrupt in the way a household or business can. The US can always pay its debts because it controls the currency in which those debts are denominated. This does not mean the debt is consequence- free: rising interest payments crowd out productive spending, and sustained deficits can fuel inflation. But the "bankruptcy" framing is designed to create panic that justifies cutting Social Security and Medicare — the actual goal of those who deploy it.

Myth: "We need austerity."

Reality: Austerity — cutting government spending during or after a downturn — has been tried repeatedly and has failed repeatedly. The UK's post- 2010 austerity program slowed growth, increased poverty, and did not meaningfully reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio because the denominator (GDP) shrank along with the numerator. Greece's austerity produced a depression. The evidence from the past 15 years is overwhelming: cutting spending in a weak economy makes the debt ratio worse, not better. Growth and revenue are the path to fiscal sustainability — not starvation budgets.

Myth: "Tax cuts pay for themselves."

Reality: This claim has been tested four times — Reagan (1981), Bush (2001, 2003), and Trump (2017) — and has failed every time. In each case, revenue fell as a share of GDP after the tax cuts, and deficits increased. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, the Joint Committee on Taxation, and even the Treasury Department under Republican administrations have concluded that tax cuts reduce revenue. The only period in recent history when the budget was balanced — the Clinton years — had significantly higher tax rates. The evidence is not ambiguous.

Myth: "The debt doesn't matter."

Reality: The debt matters — but not for the reasons usually cited. The risk is not "bankruptcy" but opportunity cost. Every dollar spent on interest — now over $1 trillion per year — is a dollar not invested in infrastructure, education, clean energy, or healthcare. At current trajectory, interest payments will consume 20%+ of all federal revenue within a decade. The debt is a serious problem that requires a serious solution: restoring revenue to historically normal levels, not cutting the programs that keep millions of Americans out of poverty. See the fiscal responsibility page for the full plan.

National Debt: Frequently Asked Questions

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The debt is a choice. We can make a different one.

Four decades of tax cuts created this crisis. $13.85 trillion in new revenue — from those who can afford it — can fix it. Read the full plan with sources, projections, and implementation details.