"Decriminalization increases drug use."
Portugal decriminalized all personal-use drugs in 2001. In the two decades since, drug use rates among Portuguese adults have remained at or below the European average. Youth drug use declined. Overdose deaths dropped from 80 per million in 2001 to 3 per million by 2017 — one of the lowest rates in Europe. Decriminalization did not create a wave of new users.
The confusion lies in equating legal consequences with deterrence. Research consistently shows that criminal penalties have almost no measurable effect on whether people decide to try drugs. What does affect drug use rates is availability of treatment, public health education, and social conditions. When Portugal redirected its enforcement budget toward treatment and harm reduction, drug-related HIV infections fell by 95% and drug-related deaths dropped by over 80%.
Oregon's 2020 decriminalization experiment has been cited as a counterexample, but it rolled back penalties without investing in the treatment infrastructure that made Portugal's model work. Decriminalization without treatment access isn't a policy — it's an absence of policy. The evidence from Portugal, the Czech Republic, and the Netherlands consistently shows that decriminalization paired with robust treatment reduces both use and harm.
Down from 80 per million in 2001 — a 96% decline